The Preakness Stakes is held on the third Saturday in May each year at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland and is the shortest race of the Triple Crown series (9.5 furlongs | 1 1/8 mile). The race is a Grade I stakes race with a purse of $1.5 million dollars. This will be the 142nd running of the Preakness Stakes, and since then there have been 20 horses that have won both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes.
Since 2004 there has been 5 horses that have won both the second leg of the Triple Crown after winning the Kentucky Derby. Always Dreaming is the favorite this year. Will he be the 3rd horse in 4 years to win the second race of the Triple Crown after winning the Kentucky Derby?
There will be 10 horses racing in the field at the Preakness Stakes, and 5 of those 10 have raced in the Kentucky Derby. In the last 7 years the horse that has won the Preakness has also raced in the Kentucky Derby.
This chart below tells you the average time per distance a horse should run. The chart provides a great benchmark on where horses need to finish. I like comparing these times to what the horses have ran in the past. You can find that information at equibase.com or horseracingnation.com
Below is the field of 10 horses along with PP, Horse, Jockey, Trainer, and Morning Odds. The horses that are highlighted in Pink are horses that raced in the Kentucky Derby. There is only one horse this year that will not stick with the same jockey from the KD to the Preakness and that is Gunnevera. Mike Smith will be now be taking the reins on Gunnevera and Javier Castellano will be the new jockey for Cloud Computing.
Conquest Mo Money: 15/1 PP#10
This horse certainly has what it takes to win the Preakness Stakes. At the Arkansas Derby Conquest Mo Money came right out of the gate from Post Position #11 to be 2nd after the first turn and kept that position for most of the way until Classic Empire beat him out in the final stretch by about 1/2 a length.
Judge Lanier Racing decided to race the last 2 legs of the Triple Crown, instead of racing in the Kentucky Derby, giving Conquest Mo Money 5 weeks rest before racing in the Preakness. If Conquest Mo Money does win the Preakness he will be the first New York Bred horse to win a Triple Crown race since Funny Cide 14 years ago.
Conquest Mo Money started his last 2 races at PP #11 and finished 2nd in both of those races. This horse has raced in a total of 5 races and has yet to come in third. If he can bust out of the gate and take an early lead, like he has been doing, he has a very good chance to get up in front and at least finish in the top 3…..This horse is FAST, but will question his stamina when it comes to the Belmont.
Multiplier: 30/1 PP#1
Multiplier has the first Post Position in the fastest race of the Triple Crown. Jockey, Joel Rosario, will have plenty of experience racing at this track as this will be his 7th race of the day. Multiplier has added up the wins lately. This horse has finished 1st in his last 2 races and has posted an impressive 1 1/8 mile time of 1:47. This is a rested horse, having raced last on 04/22/17.
Joel Rosario does have some success at the Preakness Stakes lately. Finishing 2nd with Ride On Curling (10-1) in 2014, 4th with Ord (1-1) in 2013, and 3rd with Creative Cause (6-1) in 2012. This will be Rosario’s first time riding a fresh horse in the Preakness since 2004. At 30-1 odds this rested horse could be one to hedge your bets on.
Always Dreaming: 4/5 PP#4
Unbeaten in 4 starts with jockey, Javier Castellano, Always Dreaming is the clear favorite to win the Preakness Stakes. The last horse with 4/5 odds to win the Preakness was American Pharoah in 2015 who gone on to win the Triple Crown that year. Since 2004 there have only been 2 horses that won the Preakness that did not race in the Kentucky Derby; Rachel Alexandra 8/5 in 2009 and Bernardini 8/1 in 2006.
Always Dreaming is a great horse, and will for sure have him included in most of my Trifectas and Superfectas bets, but be wearing going all in for the Win. Nyquist, last year, won every race leading up to the Preakness only to be beaten by its most fiercest competitor Exaggerator ruining Nyquist’s chances of a Triple Crown.
Classic Empire: 3/1 PP#5
Banged up heading into the Kentucky Derby having suffered a foot abscess at Holy Bull back in February and now just suffered a swollen eye banging into McCracken coming out of the gate at the Kentucky Derby Classic Empire is 3/1 entering the Preakness. The contender ran a fantastic race in the Arkansas Derby running down Conquest Mo Money in the final stretch and finishing the 1 1/8 mile race in 1:48.
Some think with a smaller field that Classic Empire has a strong chance to win, especially if he gets a good start.
Gunnevera: 15/1 PP#6
Out of all the jockeys in the filed Mike Smith has been the most successful at the Preakness. Since 2004 he has finished 2nd twice, 3rd three times, and 4th once. However, the last time he raced in the Preakness Stakes in 2013 he finished 7th with Will Take Charge and had his worst finish with Gayego finishing 11th back in 2008.
Mike Smith will be riding 15/1 Gunnevera for the first time, whose odds have not changed since the Kentucky Derby. Gunnevera finished seventh in the Kentucky Derby after having a bit of a slow start and falling far off the pace. The weather may have played a factor at the Kentucky Derby, however that should not be the case for the Preakness as the conditions are expected to be ideal at Pimlico.
Cloud Computing: 12/1 PP#2
Having raced his last race back on April 8th Cloud Computing is a well rested horse that can very well surprise some people. Trainer Chad Brown is not a type of trainer to throw a horse in a race just to have him race. With that being said this horse has only had 3 career starts so there is not much to go off of, only winning one of those 3 races and has yet to placed lower than 3rd.
Looking At Lee: 10/1 PP#9
Do not cross this horse off your Trifecta or Superfecta bets ladies and gentlemen. Looking at Lee may not win the Preakness Stakes, but his odds went from 20/1 in the Kentucky Derby to now 10/1 for the Preakness Stakes, the highest odds jump out of any horse that ran in the KD that is also running in the Preakness Stakes. Sticking with the same jockey, Corey Lanerie, they ended up finishing 2nd place in the KD. In his last 9 races he has finished 4th or better 8 times and those have been in races with such horses as Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, and Conquest Mo Money.
Some of Fun Facts:
Since 2004 a horse that raced in the Kentucky Derby has won the Preakness 11 out of 13 times. There are 5 horses racing in this year’s Preakness that have raced in the Kentucky Derby. (Always Dreaming, Classic Empire, Gunnevera, Hence, & Lookin At Lee)
Since 2004, the 11 horses that raced in the Kentucky Derby and went on to win the Preakness nine of them finished 4th or higher in the Kentucky Derby. Always Dreaming, Lookin At Lee, & Classic Empire all finished in the Top 4 in the Kentucky Derby and all are racing in the Preakness.
Since 2004 there have been 5 horses that won the Kentucky Derby that have also gone on to win the Preakness. The last one was American Pharoah who gone on to win the Triple Crown in 2015. Then California Chrome in 2014, I’ll Have Another in 2012, Big Brown in 2008, & Smarty Jones in 2004.
The last time a horse won the Florida Derby, the Kentucky Derby, and the Preakness was Big Brown in 2008, Always Dreaming is the winner of both the Florida Derby and the Kentucky Derby.
Always Dreaming, Classic Empire, and Gunnevera have all won over $1 million over their careers on dirt tracks.
Since 2010 there has at least been one horse each year that has finished in the Top 4 at the Preakness Stakes that had odds 10-1 and greater
Since 2004 no horse that has had odds greater than 15-1 has won the Preakness Stakes.
Since 2004 the Post Position that has came in the Top 3 the most times is 7, with 7 times! The 7 horse is Term of Art….HUGE long shot at 30-1 could possibly see his odds go higher.
The next favorable post positions to either Win, Place, or Show in the Preakness Stakes is 5 & 3 with 5 times each. With Classic Empire at PP #5 he is in a lot better position than he was in racing the Kentucky Derby.